Dear Friends
Please accept my apologies for not updating the blog for two
weeks mainly due to stomach infection thanks to monsoon rains.
As you know, I track markets based on Trend Score method (a
true mechanical trading system) which is long term in nature. The day to day
volatility has very little impact on the long term trending profile due to
which the Trend Score table remains the same despite considerable intraday or
intraweek volatility.
To make it more action oriented I have expanded the swing trade
section further and included the intraday range along with swing trade
recommendations. As I stated before in my earlier commentaries, the swing trade
can generate returns in the range of 5% to 10% in one to week’s period and inclusion
of intraday ranges makes it useful for the day traders to execute the swing
trade on an intraday basis.
The intraday ranges are adaptive in nature and
are co-related with the short and medium term historical intraday volatility of
the stock. The intraday range will expand if the stock becomes volatile and
vice versa. Mind you this is not a “pivot point” method of calculating
the intraday day range. It’s a completely new method of range based on the
historical behavior of the stock.
Both swing trade recommendation and intraday day range are
completely mechanical in nature and require no analyst tweaking thus
eliminating the analyst bias from the trade. The intraday range captures
the market action 80% of the time; however, only exception will be either on a
secular trend day (only up or only down day) or on the corporate result day.
If you have any suggestion feel free to email me at ravikaml@gmail.com.
Thanks and kind regards
Ravi Shankar
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